Peer-to-Peer Lending ROI Calculator
Expected return from P2P lending by risk grade.
About this calculator
This calculator models what an investor actually nets from putting money into peer-to-peer lending platforms like LendingClub or Prosper, after every real-world drag on the headline interest rate. It first computes gross interest income using a standard loan amortization formula — the same math a bank uses to calculate a monthly payment — applied to your investment amount, term, and rate. From there it subtracts four separate costs: net default losses (defaulted principal minus whatever recovery/collections claws back), lost interest on those defaults (approximated as half the loan term's worth, since defaults are assumed to happen roughly mid-term on average), the platform's service fee (charged on interest actually received, not lost to defaults), and a cash-drag cost that captures the opportunity cost of money sitting idle for a period before it's reinvested into a new loan. The result is both a dollar net return and that figure annualized to a percentage — the number worth comparing across investments of different lengths.
The calculator then benchmarks that against a simple alternative fixed-income yield (like a Treasury bond or high-yield savings account) invested over the same period, showing the "excess return" your P2P risk is actually buying you. The biggest limitation to keep in mind: this assumes a single loan grade with a single default rate, when in practice P2P investors typically diversify across many small loan fractions of different grades, and real defaults cluster unevenly rather than landing precisely at the midpoint of the term. Treat the default rate, recovery rate, and cash-drag inputs as estimates to stress-test rather than guarantees — historical default rates by grade (Grade A near 2-3%, Grade E+ often 15-25%+) are a reasonable starting point, but recessions and platform-specific underwriting quality can move them substantially.
Inputs
Results
Net return ($)
$1,485.99
≈ 11 pairs of sneakers
Annualized net return (%)
4.95%
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter Investment amount ($), Loan term (months), and Gross interest rate (%).
- Set Expected default rate (%), Platform fee (%), and Recovery rate (%).
- Adjust Reinvestment delay (days), Alternative yield (%) as needed.
- Review Net return ($) ($) and Annualized net return (%) (%).
- Use Excess return vs. alt ($) ($) and Gross interest income ($) to inform your decision.
How the result changes with Loan term (months)
| Loan term (months) | Net return ($) | Annualized net return (%) |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | $539.16 | 3.59% |
| 27 | $1,006.14 | 4.47% |
| 54 | $2,484.04 | 5.52% |
| 84 | $4,258.89 | 6.08% |
What each input means
- Investment amount ($)
- Total capital allocated to P2P lending.
- Loan term (months)
- Average loan duration (common terms: 36 or 60 months).
- Gross interest rate (%)
- Average gross interest rate on loans. Grade A: ~6-8%, Grade C: ~12-15%, Grade E+: ~20-30%.
- Expected default rate (%)
- Percentage of loan principal expected to default. Grade A: ~2-3%, Grade C: ~7-10%, Grade E+: ~15-25%.
- Platform fee (%)
- Annual service fee charged by the platform on received payments (LendingClub: 1%, Prosper: 1%).
- Recovery rate (%)
- Percentage of defaulted principal recovered through collections. Typically 5-15%.
- Reinvestment delay (days)
- Average days cash sits idle before being reinvested into new loans (cash drag).
- Alternative yield (%)
- Annual yield on alternative fixed-income investment (e.g., Treasury bonds, high-yield savings) for comparison.
What each result means
- Net return ($)
- Total net return after defaults, fees, and cash drag over the loan term.
- Annualized net return (%)
- Net return expressed as an annualized percentage — the key metric to compare across investments.
- Excess return vs. alt ($)
- Additional return earned compared to the alternative fixed-income investment.
- Gross interest income
- Total interest earned before any deductions.
- Net default losses
- Principal lost to defaults after recoveries.
- Platform fees
- Total platform service fees over the loan term.
- Cash drag cost
- Estimated opportunity cost from reinvestment delays.
- Alternative investment return
- What you would have earned in the alternative investment over the same period.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersInvestment amount ($) = 10000, Loan term (months) = 36, Gross interest rate (%) = 12, Expected default rate (%) = 4 = 8 input(s) provided
- Calculate Net returnNet return = grossInterestIncome - netDefaultLoss - lostInterest - platformFees - cashDrag...1485.99 = $1,485.99
- Calculate Annualized net returnAnnualized net return = loanTermMonths > 04.95 = 4.95%
- Calculate Excess return vs. altExcess return vs. alt = netReturn - altReturn-14.01 = $-14.01
- Calculate Gross interest incomeGross interest income = totalPayments - investmentAmount1957.15 = $1,957.15
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does the calculator subtract lost interest separately from default losses?
Net Default Losses only accounts for principal that isn't recovered through collections. But a defaulted loan also stops generating the interest income you were expecting, so the calculator adds a second deduction — lost interest on the defaulted share — approximated as half the loan term's worth of interest, on the assumption that defaults happen roughly mid-term on average rather than all at the very end.
How is Cash Drag Cost calculated, and why does it matter?
Cash drag estimates the return forfeited while a payment sits uninvested for your Reinvestment Delay before it's redeployed into a new loan. It's built from the average post-default monthly payment, the fraction of a year that money sits idle, and the gross rate it could otherwise be earning — a real cost for active P2P investors who are continually recycling matured principal into fresh notes.
What does 'Excess return vs. alt' actually measure?
It's Net Return (after defaults, fees, and cash drag) minus what the same investment amount would have earned at your entered Alternative Yield over the identical period. A positive number means the P2P risk you took on was compensated with extra return; a number near zero or negative means you carried default and illiquidity risk without being paid for it.
Why does Annualized Net Return differ from the raw Net Return percentage?
Net Return as a raw percentage of your investment isn't comparable across loans of different lengths — 6% over 60 months is a much worse deal than 6% over 12 months. Annualized Net Return rescales it by multiplying by 12 divided by Loan Term Months, so returns on loans of different durations can be compared on equal footing.
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