Hash Collision Probability Calculator
Calculate hash collision probability using birthday paradox. Find collision probability and birthday bound for hash functions.
About this calculator
A hash collision is when two different inputs produce the same hash output. The birthday paradox is the counterintuitive statistical result that collisions become likely far sooner than intuition suggests -- with a hash space of m possible values, you need only roughly the SQUARE ROOT of m random hashes (not m/2) before a collision becomes about 50% likely. That square-root figure is what Birthday Bound reports. This calculator's Hash Function selector picks a real, fixed digest length -- SHA-256 (256 bits), MD5 (128 bits), or SHA-1 (160 bits) -- and that selection determines the entire hash space size (2^length possible values), overriding the raw Hash Length field entirely, since all three available functions use a fixed, named digest size (a fourth option, Custom, lets you set Hash Length directly).
Collision Probability and Expected Collisions both depend on how many hashes you're comparing (Number of Hashes) relative to that space. For a modern 256-bit hash like SHA-256, the space is so astronomically large (2^256, which is still more atoms than exist in the Earth -- roughly 10^50 -- even though it's smaller than the ~10^80 atoms estimated in the observable universe) that even comparing millions of billions of hashes -- far beyond any realistic Number of Hashes this calculator accepts by default -- produces a collision probability and Time to Collision so close to zero that they round to 0 in the displayed output. This is the intended, correct behavior: it demonstrates why 256-bit hashes are considered collision-resistant for the foreseeable future, in sharp contrast to MD5 (128 bits), which is why MD5 is no longer recommended for security-sensitive hashing.
Inputs
Results
Collision Probability
0%
Expected Collisions
0
Birthday Bound
400,651,869,298,001,200,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
How to Use This Calculator
- Select a Hash Function (SHA-256, MD5, SHA-1, or Custom). Choosing a named function overrides Hash Length with its fixed digest size; choose Custom to set Hash Length directly.
- Set the number of messages to be hashed.
- Review the probability of at least one collision occurring.
- Ensure the collision probability is below your application acceptable risk threshold.
- For digital signatures, collision resistance requires a hash output at least twice the desired security level.
What each input means
- Hash Length
- Hash output length in bits
- Number of Hashes
- Number of hash values to compare
- Hash Function
- Hash function type — choose Custom to set Hash Length directly
How this is calculated
Formula
P(collision) ≈ 1 - e^(-n²/(2×m))Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input ParametersHash Length = 256, Number of Hashes = 1000000, Hash Function = 0 = 3 input(s) provided
- Calculate Collision Probability0 = 0%
- Calculate Expected CollisionsExpected Collisions0 = 0
- Calculate Birthday BoundBirthday Bound4.006518692980012e+38 = 4.006518692980012e+38
- Calculate Time to CollisionTime to Collision4.63717e+24 = 4.63717e+24
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does the Hash Length field seem to have no effect on the results?
Selecting a named Hash Function (SHA-256, MD5, or SHA-1) always overrides the raw Hash Length field with that function's actual fixed digest size -- 256, 128, and 160 bits respectively. Select "Custom" from the Hash Function dropdown to use the Hash Length field's value directly for a digest size not covered by the three named functions.
Why does the Collision Probability show 0% even at a high Number of Hashes?
For a 256-bit hash function like SHA-256, the hash space (2^256 possible values) is so enormous that even the maximum Number of Hashes this calculator accepts produces a collision probability far below what two decimal places can display -- it genuinely rounds to 0.00%. Switching to MD5 (128 bits) shrinks the hash space, but you need Number of Hashes up near 10^17 or higher before the probability rises above 0.005% -- ordinary comparison counts still round to 0.00% even for MD5.
What exactly does the Birthday Bound number represent?
It's the number of random hashes at which the probability of at least one collision reaches roughly 50%, derived from the square root of the hash space size (scaled by a constant from the birthday-paradox math). It depends only on the hash space size, not on the Number of Hashes you've entered.
Is switching from MD5 to SHA-1 or SHA-256 always safer against collisions?
Yes for collision resistance specifically -- a larger hash space (160 bits for SHA-1, 256 for SHA-256, versus 128 for MD5) makes the birthday bound exponentially larger. That said, SHA-1 itself has known practical collision attacks that go beyond simple birthday-paradox math, which this calculator's simplified model does not account for.
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