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Calcimator

Basis Calculator

Calculate grain basis from local cash price and nearby futures price, compare it to your historical average, and estimate the revenue impact of selling now versus at a typical basis level.

About this calculator

Basis is the difference between the price a local elevator or buyer offers for grain right now (cash price) and the price of the nearby futures contract trading on the exchange (futures price): basis = cash price - futures price. Because most local cash bids sit below the futures price -- reflecting transportation, storage, and local supply-and-demand conditions -- basis is usually negative, and this calculator's default values reflect that typical relationship. Comparing your current basis to a historical average for the same time of year (Basis vs Historical) tells you whether local conditions are unusually strong or weak right now: a current basis that's less negative than normal (a positive Basis vs Historical reading) signals a stronger-than-typical local market, which is often considered a good time to sell into the cash market rather than wait.

The calculator also projects total revenue at your entered cash price and bushels, and compares that to what you'd have earned selling at the historical basis instead (Revenue Delta), turning the basis comparison into a concrete dollar figure. Expected Cash Price works the relationship in reverse, estimating what cash price you'd see if basis reverted to its historical average given the current futures price -- useful for judging whether today's cash bid is unusually generous or stingy relative to the normal seasonal pattern.

Inputs

Results

Current basis ($/bu)

-0.5

Basis vs historical-0.1
Total revenue ($)$55,000.00
Revenue delta ($)-$1,000.00
Expected cash ($/bu)5.6
How to Use This Calculator
  1. Enter the Local Cash Price from your elevator or grain buyer and the nearby Futures Price.
  2. Enter the Historical Basis for this time of year to compare current vs typical basis levels.
  3. Enter Bushels to sell to calculate total revenue impact.
  4. Review Current Basis and Basis vs Historical — a stronger-than-normal basis is a good selling signal.
  5. Check Expected Cash Price and Revenue Delta vs Normal to time grain sales more effectively.

How the result changes with Futures price ($/bu)

Futures price ($/bu)Current basis ($/bu)
32.5
4.51
9-3.5
15-9.5

What each input means

Local cash price ($/bu)
Local elevator or buyer cash bid per bushel.
Futures price ($/bu)
Nearby futures contract price per bushel.
Historical basis ($/bu)
Average historical basis for this period (negative = under futures).
Bushels to sell
Quantity of grain in bushels.

What each result means

Current basis ($/bu)
Cash price minus futures price.
Basis vs historical
Current basis minus historical (positive = stronger).
Total revenue ($)
Revenue at current cash price.
Revenue delta ($)
Revenue gain/loss vs selling at historical basis.
Expected cash ($/bu)
Predicted cash price from futures + historical basis.

How this is calculated

Worked example, using the default values

  1. Identify Input Parameters
    4 parameters
    Local cash price ($/bu) = 5.5, Futures price ($/bu) = 6, Historical basis ($/bu) = -0.4, Bushels to sell = 10000 = 4 input(s) provided
  2. Calculate Current basis
    Current basis = round((cashPrice - futuresPrice) * 10000) / 10000
    -0.5 = -0.5
  3. Calculate Basis vs historical
    Basis vs historical = round((currentBasis - historicalBasis) * 10000) / 10000
    -0.1 = -0.1
  4. Calculate Total revenue
    Total revenue = round(cashPrice * bushels * 100) / 100
    55000 = $55,000

Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is grain basis usually a negative number?

Basis is cash price minus futures price, and local cash bids typically sit below the exchange futures price because the futures contract reflects a delivery point (often a major terminal) while your local elevator's bid also has to cover transportation to that terminal, local storage costs, and local supply and demand. A negative basis simply means the local cash price is under the futures price, which is the normal condition in most grain-producing regions rather than a sign anything is wrong.

What does it mean when Basis vs Historical is positive?

A positive Basis vs Historical reading means your current local basis is stronger (less negative, or possibly positive) than the historical average for this time of year, which usually reflects tighter local supply, strong local demand, or transportation bottlenecks pushing up what local buyers are willing to pay relative to futures. Many grain marketers treat a stronger-than-normal basis as a favorable signal to sell into the cash market rather than only watching the outright futures price.

How does Revenue Delta vs Normal help with sale timing?

Revenue Delta vs Normal compares your total revenue at the current cash price against what you would have earned selling the same bushels at the historical basis level (applied to today's futures price), converting an abstract basis comparison into a concrete dollar figure for your specific bushel quantity. A positive delta means today's basis is putting more money in your pocket than a typical year would, which is useful context alongside the outright price level when deciding whether to sell now or wait.

Why don't bushels to sell or historical basis affect the Current Basis figure?

Current Basis is defined strictly as cash price minus futures price -- a per-bushel price relationship -- so it doesn't depend on how many bushels you're selling or what the historical average basis has been. Bushels to sell only comes into play once the calculator converts that per-bushel basis into total revenue and revenue delta figures, and historical basis is used only as a comparison point for the Basis vs Historical and Revenue Delta outputs, not to compute the current basis itself.

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