Small Wind Feasibility Calculator
Evaluate ROI for a residential or small commercial wind turbine.
About this calculator
Small wind turbines have a well-earned reputation for disappointing paybacks compared to solar, and this calculator's built-in capacity factor formula makes that risk visible rather than hiding it. It estimates capacity factor from average wind speed using a simple linear rule — (wind speed − 3) × 0.05, clamped between 5% and 35% — which is a rough heuristic, not a physics-based power curve; real turbines have manufacturer-specific power curves that respond very differently to wind speed distribution, not just the mean. That capacity factor is multiplied by rated power and the 8,760 hours in a year to estimate annual kWh production, which is then valued at your electricity rate and reduced by annual maintenance cost to get net annual savings.
Total installed cost (turbine plus installation) is discounted by any incentive or rebate percentage you enter, and simple payback is that discounted cost divided by net annual savings — capped at 99 years if savings are zero or negative, a sentinel value flagging an infeasible system rather than a real multi-generation payback. Twenty-year ROI and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) both assume a flat 20-year system life with no degradation, no financing costs, no future maintenance escalation, and no changes to electricity rates over time. Because residential wind performance is extremely site-sensitive — a location with obstructed or turbulent wind flow will underperform this estimate significantly — treat the output as a rough screening tool, and pair it with an actual site wind assessment before committing to a purchase.
InputsLoading live data…
Results
Payback Period
32.2 years
Annual Production
5,475 kWh
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter the turbine cost and installation cost for your system.
- Input the turbine's rated power in kW and the average annual wind speed at your site in m/s.
- Enter your local electricity rate and estimated annual maintenance cost.
- Enter any incentive or rebate percentage that reduces your total system cost.
- Review the estimated annual energy production, payback period, net annual savings, 20-year ROI, and LCOE.
How the result changes with Average Wind Speed
| Average Wind Speed | Payback Period | Annual Production |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 155.6 years | 2,190 kWh |
| 4.13 | 116.8 years | 2,475 kWh |
| 8.25 | 13.1 years | 11,498 kWh |
| 14 | 9.5 years | 15,330 kWh |
What each input means
- Turbine Cost
- Cost of the wind turbine unit.
- Installation Cost
- Installation, permitting, and foundation costs.
- Rated Power
- Turbine rated power output.
- Average Wind Speed
- Average annual wind speed at your site.
- Electricity Rate
- Your utility electricity rate.
- Annual Maintenance
- Estimated annual maintenance cost.
- Incentive/Rebate
- Percentage of cost covered by incentives.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersTurbine Cost = 15000, Installation Cost = 5000, Rated Power = 5, Average Wind Speed = 5.5 = 7 input(s) provided
- Calculate Payback PeriodPayback Period32.2 = 32.2
- Calculate Annual ProductionAnnual Production5475 = 5475
- Calculate Net Annual SavingsNet Annual Savings621 = $621
- Calculate 20-Year ROI20-Year ROI-38 = -38
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the calculator estimate capacity factor from average wind speed alone?
It uses a linear rule of thumb — (average wind speed minus 3) times 0.05 — clamped between 5% and 35%, so a 5.5 m/s site (the default) works out to about 12.5%. This is a simplified heuristic, not a real turbine power curve, so two turbines rated the same but with very different power curves would produce different actual capacity factors at the same wind speed even though this calculator would treat them identically.
Why might the payback period show exactly 99 years?
99 years is a sentinel value the calculator returns whenever net annual savings come out at zero or negative — for example, if maintenance cost exceeds the value of the electricity produced. It's a flag meaning the system as configured never pays for itself, not a literal multi-generation payback estimate you should plan around.
What do the 20-year ROI and LCOE figures assume?
Both assume a flat 20-year system life with constant net annual savings — no performance degradation, no financing costs, no maintenance cost escalation, and no change in your electricity rate over time. ROI compares 20 years of net savings against your discounted total cost, while LCOE spreads total cost plus maintenance evenly across 20 years of production, so both are best-case simplifications rather than a full financial pro forma.
How does the incentive or rebate percentage affect the results?
It reduces the combined turbine and installation cost before payback, ROI, and LCOE are calculated — a 30% incentive on a $20,000 system brings the cost used in those calculations down to $14,000. It has no effect on annual energy production or annual savings, only on how quickly the discounted cost is recovered.
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