Migration Pattern Calculator
Predict flyway timing, stopover duration, and migration windows for migratory bird species based on location, season, and species group.
Inputs
°N
mph
grams
Results
Current Migration Status
Spring Migration (3% through)
Spring Peak Date
Apr 27
Fall Peak DateSep 14
Spring Migration WindowApr 9 – May 15
Fall Migration WindowAug 27 – Oct 2
Adjusted Flight Speed61 km/day
Estimated Migration Distance2,200 km
Total Migration Duration108 days
Avg. Stopover Duration4 days
Total Energy Cost277 kJ
Stopover Frequency10
How to Use This Calculator
- Select Flyway (Atlantic, Mississippi, Central, or Pacific) for waterfowl, or the relevant corridor for other species.
- Choose Species Group (waterfowl, shorebirds, raptors, neotropical songbirds) for species-specific timing data.
- Enter Observation Latitude (°N) — latitude drives phenological timing within each flyway.
- Input Current Day of Year (1-365) to see current migration status relative to historical peak dates.
- Set Average Tailwind Speed (km/h) and Average Body Mass (grams) to estimate daily flight range.
- Review Migration Status, Spring Peak Date, and daily flight range estimates for survey planning and hunting season timing.
What each input means
- Flyway
- 1 = Atlantic, 2 = Mississippi, 3 = Central, 4 = Pacific.
- Species Group
- 1 = Waterfowl, 2 = Shorebird, 3 = Songbird, 4 = Raptor, 5 = Seabird.
- Observation Latitude
- Latitude of your observation location (degrees North).
- Current Day of Year
- Day of year (1 = Jan 1, 100 = Apr 10, 200 = Jul 19, 300 = Oct 27).
- Average Tailwind Speed
- Average tailwind component. Use 0 for headwinds. Tailwinds significantly extend flight range.
- Average Body Mass
- Average body mass of the species. Warblers ~10g, ducks ~1000g, geese ~4000g.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersFlyway = 2, Species Group = 3, Observation Latitude = 40, Current Day of Year = 100 = 6 input(s) provided
- Calculate Current Migration StatusSpring Migration (3% through) = Spring Migration (3% through)
- Calculate Spring Peak DateSpring Peak Date = dayToDate(springPeak)Apr 27 = Apr 27
- Calculate Fall Peak DateFall Peak Date = dayToDate(fallPeak)Sep 14 = Sep 14
- Calculate Spring Migration WindowSpring Migration Window = `${dayToDate(springStart)Apr 9 – May 15 = Apr 9 – May 15
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