Target Date Fund Analyzer
Analyze glide path, projected balance, fee impact, and retirement income for target date funds.
About this calculator
A target date fund automatically shifts its asset allocation from growth-oriented toward capital-preservation as its target year approaches -- a pattern called a "glide path." This calculator models a simplified, generic glide path that decreases the stock allocation linearly from 90% at 40+ years from retirement down to 40% at the retirement date itself, which is broadly representative of common target date fund families' published glide paths but will differ from any specific fund's actual, published allocation schedule -- check your fund's prospectus for its real glide path before relying on this figure. Expected Net Return blends an assumed 10% long-run stock return and 4% bond return by that stock/bond mix, then subtracts the Fund Expense Ratio you enter. Projected Balance at Retirement compounds your Current Balance and Monthly Contribution forward at that net return through your remaining working years.
Fee Cost vs DIY compares the fund against building the same stock/bond allocation yourself using low-cost index funds at an assumed 0.04% expense ratio -- a rough stand-in for a low-cost, broad-market index fund's typical fee -- to show, in dollar terms, what the target date fund's convenience of automatic rebalancing and glide-path management is costing versus doing it yourself. Annual and Monthly Retirement Income apply the widely cited "4% rule" to the projected balance -- a useful planning rule of thumb, not a guarantee, since real safe withdrawal rates depend on market conditions, retirement length, and portfolio composition at the time you actually retire.
Financial Disclaimer
This calculator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Results are estimates based on the inputs provided. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment or financial planning decisions.
Inputs
Results
Projected balance at retirement ($)
$1,459,978.00
≈ 3 average U.S. homes
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter your current age and target retirement age to define the fund's glide path timeline.
- Input the fund's expense ratio percentage (check the fund prospectus or a site like Morningstar).
- Set your current balance and planned monthly contribution.
- Review Projected Balance and Annual/Monthly Retirement Income to see if the fund will fund your retirement.
- Check Fee Cost vs DIY to compare the target-date fund's all-in cost against building your own allocation with cheaper index funds.
How the result changes with Retirement age
| Retirement age | Projected balance at retirement ($) |
|---|---|
| 57 | $636,126.00 |
| 62 | $1,062,908.00 |
| 68 | $2,023,501.00 |
| 73 | $3,567,654.00 |
What each input means
- Current age
- Your current age.
- Retirement age
- Target retirement age.
- Fund expense ratio (%)
- Target date fund expense ratio.
- Current balance ($)
- Current retirement account balance.
- Monthly contribution ($)
- Monthly retirement savings.
What each result means
- Current stock allocation (%)
- Stock percentage based on glide path.
- Projected balance at retirement ($)
- Estimated retirement balance.
- Fee cost vs DIY ($)
- Extra cost compared to DIY index portfolio.
- Annual retirement income ($)
- Income using 4% withdrawal rule.
- Monthly retirement income ($)
- Monthly income in retirement.
- Effective net return (%)
- Expected return after fund fees.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters5 parametersCurrent age = 35, Retirement age = 65, Fund expense ratio (%) = 0.15, Current balance ($) = 50000, Monthly contribution ($) = 500 = 5 input(s) provided
- Calculate Projected balance at retirementProjected balance at retirement1459978 = $1,459,978
- Calculate Current stock allocationCurrent stock allocation = min(90, max(40, 90 - (90 - 40) * (1 - yearsToRetirement / 40)))78 = 78%
- Calculate Fee cost vs DIYFee cost vs DIY = diyProjected - projectedBalance40056 = $40,056
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does this calculator use my actual fund's real glide path?
No -- it uses a simplified, generic glide path (90% stocks at 40+ years out, declining linearly to 40% stocks at the retirement date) meant to be broadly representative of common target date fund families, not any single fund's actual published schedule. Real funds vary meaningfully in both their starting allocation and how aggressively they shift toward bonds -- some hold more stock even at retirement, and some continue shifting allocation for years after the target date ("through" versus "to" glide paths) -- so check your specific fund's prospectus for its real glide path.
Why does the calculator compare the fund to a 0.04% DIY expense ratio?
0.04% is a rough stand-in for a low-cost, broad-market index fund's typical expense ratio, used as a baseline for what building the same stock/bond allocation yourself might cost in fund fees. Actual DIY expense ratios vary by which specific funds you'd choose, and a real DIY approach also requires you to do your own periodic rebalancing as the mix drifts -- something the target date fund handles automatically as part of what its expense ratio pays for.
Is the 4% rule a guarantee I won't run out of money in retirement?
No -- the 4% rule is a widely cited planning heuristic (originating from research on historical U.S. market returns) for a roughly 30-year retirement, not a guarantee. Actual safe withdrawal rates depend on the sequence and level of market returns after you retire, how long your retirement actually lasts, and your portfolio's specific composition at that time; some retirees may be able to withdraw more, and some conditions (poor early returns, a longer-than-planned retirement) could call for withdrawing less.
Why doesn't the Fund Expense Ratio affect Current stock allocation?
Current stock allocation is driven purely by how many years remain until your Retirement age, following the modeled glide path -- the expense ratio only affects returns and therefore Projected Balance and Fee Cost vs DIY, not the underlying stock/bond mix. A higher-fee fund and a lower-fee fund following the same glide path would show an identical stock allocation at any given point in time, just different projected account balances.
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