Patient Volume Forecast Calculator

Daily patient count projection from historical and seasonal data.

Current monthly visits

Annual growth rate (%)

Seasonal index

New providers added

New provider visits/day (at capacity)

New provider ramp-up (months)

Current active patients

Current providers

Forecast period (months)

Tab to move between fields

Projected monthly visits (end)

1,260

Projected annual visits

15,120

Current annual visits14,400

Current panel per provider1,333

Visit volume growth5%

Projected active patients4,200

Max panel capacity6,600

Panel capacity utilization63.6%

Additional providers needed0

How to Use This Calculator

Enter Current monthly visits and Annual growth rate (%) based on historical trends or market analysis.
Set Seasonal index (1.0 = average) to reflect whether the forecast period is a peak (>1.0) or slow (<1.0) season.
Enter New providers added and their Visit volume at capacity with New provider ramp-up (months).
Input Current active patients and Current providers to calculate Panel capacity utilization.
Review Projected monthly visits and Projected annual visits at the end of the forecast period.
Check Additional providers needed to plan recruiting if projected panel utilization exceeds capacity.

How the result changes with Current monthly visits

Current monthly visits	Projected monthly visits (end)	Projected annual visits
5,001	5,251	63,013
17,501	18,376	220,513
32,500	34,125	409,500
45,000	47,250	567,000

Current monthly visits: Average patient encounters per month currently.
Annual growth rate (%): Expected year-over-year organic visit growth rate.
Seasonal index: Seasonal multiplier for forecast period. 1.0 = average, >1.0 = peak (flu season), <1.0 = slow period.
New providers added: Number of new providers joining during forecast period.
New provider visits/day (at capacity): Daily visit volume per new provider at full ramp.
New provider ramp-up (months): Months for new provider to reach full patient panel.
Current active patients: Patients seen at least once in past 18-24 months.
Current providers: Currently practicing physicians and APPs.
Forecast period (months): How many months to project forward.

Current annual visits: Annualized current monthly visit volume.
Current panel per provider: Active patients divided by current providers.
Projected monthly visits (end): Monthly visit volume at end of forecast period.
Projected annual visits: Annualized visit volume at end of forecast period.
Visit volume growth: Percentage change in annualized visits from current to projected.
Projected active patients: Estimated active patient panel at end of forecast.
Max panel capacity: Maximum active patients based on provider count and 2,200 panel benchmark.
Panel capacity utilization: Projected panel as percentage of maximum capacity.
Additional providers needed: Extra providers required if projected panel exceeds capacity.

Identify Input Parameters
4 parameters
Current monthly visits = 1200, Annual growth rate (%) = 5, Seasonal index = 1, New providers added = 0 = 9 input(s) provided
Calculate Projected monthly visits
Projected monthly visits
1260 = 1260
Calculate Current annual visits
Current annual visits = currentMonthlyVisits * 12
14400 = 14400
Calculate Current panel per provider
Current panel per provider = currentActivePatients / numCurrentProviders
1333 = 1333