Hotel Occupancy Forecaster

At this calculator's default Event Boost and New Supply Impact, both zero, Projected Occupancy reduces to Base Occupancy scaled by the Seasonal Adjustment and Market Growth percentages -- Base Occupancy is a common multiplying factor throughout that formula, so it moves the result by roughly the same percentage you change it, far more than Seasonal Adjustment or Market Growth do on their own.

No. Projected Occupancy, Change from Base, Low Estimate, and High Estimate are all percentage-rate figures calculated entirely from Base Occupancy and the four adjustment inputs -- Total Available Rooms never enters those formulas. It only comes into play for Projected Room Nights and Incremental Room Nights, which convert the rate into an actual room count.

Seasonal Adjustment is a percentage applied to Base Occupancy, so its effect scales with how big your baseline occupancy is, while Event Boost adds a flat number of occupancy points directly to the total, independent of Base Occupancy's size. A property at 40% baseline occupancy and one at 90% both gain the exact same points from the same Event Boost value.

Projected Room Nights is Total Available Rooms times Projected Occupancy. Incremental Room Nights is the difference between that figure and what you'd get at Base Occupancy alone -- it isolates just the extra room nights created by your Seasonal Adjustment, Event Boost, Market Growth, and New Supply Impact inputs, on top of your historical baseline.

Low Estimate and High Estimate are Projected Occupancy minus and plus a fixed 5-percentage-point confidence band, clamped to the 0-100% range -- they move in the same direction as Projected Occupancy itself and share the same drivers, Base Occupancy, Seasonal Adjustment, and Market Growth, rather than being calculated as a separate range.