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Calcimator

Coral Bleaching Risk Calculator

Assess coral bleaching risk using Degree Heating Weeks (DHW) based on sea surface temperature anomalies and duration above threshold.

Inputs

°F
weeks
°F

Results

Degree Heating Weeks

7.2 °C-weeks

Risk Assessment

Bleaching Warning

NOAA Alert Level2
Est. Bleaching Percentage16%
Est. Recovery Time5 years
Current SST29.7 °C
Max Monthly Mean28.5
How to Use This Calculator
  1. Enter Weekly SST Anomaly, Weeks Above Threshold, and MMM Threshold Temperature.
  2. Review Degree Heating Weeks (°C-weeks) and Risk Assessment.
  3. Use NOAA Alert Level and Est. Bleaching Percentage (%) to inform your decision.

How the result changes with Weekly SST Anomaly

Weekly SST AnomalyDegree Heating WeeksRisk Assessment
0.53 °C-weeksBleaching Watch
1.7510.5 °C-weeksAlert Level 1 — Bleaching Likely
3.2519.5 °C-weeksAlert Level 2 — Severe Bleaching Likely
4.527 °C-weeksAlert Level 2 — Severe Bleaching Likely

What each input means

Weekly SST Anomaly
Sea surface temperature anomaly above the maximum monthly mean (MMM) climatology in °C.
Weeks Above Threshold
Number of consecutive weeks the SST has remained above the bleaching threshold (1°C above MMM).
MMM Threshold Temperature
Maximum Monthly Mean (MMM) sea surface temperature for the region. Bleaching risk begins 1°C above this value.

How this is calculated

Worked example, using the default values

  1. Identify Input Parameters
    Weekly SST Anomaly = 1.2, Weeks Above Threshold = 6, MMM Threshold Temperature = 28.5 = 3 input(s) provided
  2. Calculate Degree Heating Weeks
    Degree Heating Weeks
    7.2 = 7.2
  3. Calculate Risk Assessment
    Risk Assessment
    Bleaching Warning = Bleaching Warning
  4. Calculate NOAA Alert Level
    NOAA Alert Level
    2 = 2
  5. Calculate Est. Bleaching Percentage
    Est. Bleaching Percentage
    16 = 16

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