Fish Growth Projection
Project the number of days to reach market weight using the Thermal Growth Coefficient (TGC) model based on current weight, target weight, and water temperature.
About this calculator
Days to Market Weight is built on the Thermal Growth Coefficient (TGC) model, a standard growth-projection method in aquaculture science -- named and formalized in Malcolm Jobling's 2003 paper in Aquaculture Research -- that relates the cube root of body weight to accumulated temperature-days rather than to time alone. Water Temperature and Thermal Growth Coefficient both sit in the same denominator of the underlying formula, so they move Days to Market Weight by comparable amounts and in the same direction: warmer water or a higher TGC both shorten the projected timeline, while cooler water or a lower TGC both lengthen it. Raising Water Temperature sharply cuts the projected days (roughly cutting the time to market by three-quarters between 8 degrees C and 32 degrees C at default settings) — always keep this within the species' actual thermal tolerance, since real fish stop growing efficiently, or die, outside their comfort range regardless of what the formula predicts. Thermal Growth Coefficient is a species/strain trait, not something a farmer changes directly, but it enters the formula exactly the same way temperature does.
Target Market Weight and Current Fish Weight pull in opposite directions, as expected — a heavier target extends the timeline, while a heavier starting weight shortens it, since there is simply less growth left to accomplish. This only holds for a Target Market Weight genuinely above Current Fish Weight: if you enter a target at or below the current weight, the calculator can't project negative growth, so it silently raises the effective target to one gram above Current Fish Weight before computing — check Target Weight Adjusted in the results to see when this happened. The model uses a fixed feed conversion ratio of 1.5 to estimate feed use per fish, which does not adjust for species, feed quality, or water quality — real FCR in production settings commonly ranges from roughly 1.0 to 2.5 depending on species and system, so use the feed estimate to budget a ballpark, not an exact order quantity.
Inputs
Results
Days to Market Weight
95 days
Figures current as of 2003. Source: Jobling, M. (2003). "The thermal growth coefficient (TGC) model of fish growth: a cautionary note." Aquaculture Research, 34(7), 581-584.
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter Current Fish Weight, Target Market Weight, and Water Temperature.
- Set Thermal Growth Coefficient.
- Review the Days to Market Weight (days) result.
- Use Weeks to Market (weeks) and Months to Market (months) to inform your decision.
- Use the chart to visualize the results and explore different scenarios by adjusting inputs.
How the result changes with Water Temperature
| Water Temperature | Days to Market Weight |
|---|---|
| 13 | 183 days |
| 19 | 125 days |
| 35 | 68 days |
What each input means
- Current Fish Weight
- Average current weight per fish in grams.
- Target Market Weight
- Desired weight per fish at harvest in grams. 454 grams = 1 pound.
- Water Temperature
- Average water temperature in Celsius. Higher temps generally mean faster growth within species tolerance.
- Thermal Growth Coefficient
- Species-specific TGC. Typical values: tilapia ~2.5, trout ~1.5, catfish ~2.0, salmon ~1.8.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersCurrent Fish Weight = 50, Target Market Weight = 600, Water Temperature = 25, Thermal Growth Coefficient = 2 = 4 input(s) provided
- Calculate Days to Market Weight95 = 95
- Calculate Weeks to Market14 = 14
- Calculate Months to MarketMonths to Market = round((roundedDays / 30) * 10) / 103.2 = 3.2
Figures and sources
- Thermal Growth Coefficient (TGC) model of fish growth (2003) — Jobling, M. (2003). "The thermal growth coefficient (TGC) model of fish growth: a cautionary note." Aquaculture Research, 34(7), 581-584.
Engine last updated . Checked against 1 independently-derived test — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why does raising Water Temperature shrink Days to Market Weight so much?
The Thermal Growth Coefficient model this calculator uses -- the named growth model described in Jobling (2003), "The thermal growth coefficient (TGC) model of fish growth: a cautionary note," Aquaculture Research 34(7) -- treats growth as proportional to accumulated temperature over time, so warmer water directly speeds up the projected growth rate. At default settings, raising Water Temperature from 8C to 32C cuts the projected days to market by roughly three-quarters. This only holds within a species' real thermal tolerance — the formula has no built-in ceiling for temperatures that would actually stress or harm the fish.
Does Thermal Growth Coefficient matter as much as Water Temperature?
Yes — they enter the underlying formula the same way, both sitting in the same denominator, so nudging either one by the same percentage moves Days to Market Weight by roughly the same amount. Thermal Growth Coefficient (TGC) is a species- and often strain- specific growth constant (the calculator's helper text lists rough typical values: tilapia around 2.5, trout around 1.5, catfish around 2.0, salmon around 1.8), not something a farmer adjusts operationally the way they can adjust water temperature.
Why does a heavier Current Fish Weight reduce the projected days?
Days to Market Weight is proportional to the remaining growth needed, measured as the difference between the cube roots of target and current weight. A fish that starts heavier already has less growth left to complete before reaching the target, so Days to Market Weight decreases as Current Fish Weight increases, holding everything else fixed.
What happens if I enter a Target Market Weight at or below Current Fish Weight?
The calculator can't project negative growth, so instead of erroring it silently raises the effective target to one gram above Current Fish Weight before computing Days to Market Weight — which then comes out flat and near-zero rather than genuinely responding to whatever value you entered. Check the Target Weight Adjusted result: it reads "Yes" and shows the adjusted value whenever this substitution happened, so you know the displayed projection isn't based on your original Target Market Weight input.
How accurate is the Est. Feed Per Fish figure?
It applies a fixed feed conversion ratio of 1.5 (feed grams per gram of weight gained) regardless of species, feed brand, or water quality. Real feed conversion ratios in commercial aquaculture commonly range from about 1.0 to 2.5 depending on species and system efficiency, so this figure is a rough planning estimate rather than a species- specific feed budget.
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