Inventory Aging Calculator
Analyze aging inventory and determine optimal markdown strategy based on sell-through rate, holding costs, and target turnover.
About this calculator
This calculator models how fast fashion inventory loses value on the floor and what markdown gets it moving again. Current Perceived Value applies a flat 2%-per-week depreciation to the original retail price (floored at 10% of retail, so nothing depreciates to zero) — a simplification that treats every week on the rack as equally damaging, which is rougher than real seasonal markdown cadences but gives a quick directional read. Suggested Markdown is driven by the gap between your current sell-through rate and your target: for every 10 percentage points you're behind target, the model recommends roughly 15% off (a 1.5x multiplier on the gap), capped at 80% so it never suggests giving product away. That markdown is then applied to the original retail price to produce the Markdown Price.
Projected Weeks to Sell divides your remaining unsold percentage by your average weekly sell-through rate (sell-through rate divided by weeks aged so far) — if the item is brand new (zero weeks old), it falls back to an assumed 5%-per-week pace rather than dividing by zero. Total Holding Cost then multiplies that projection by your per-unit weekly carrying cost. The key limitation: this is a linear extrapolation of past performance, not a forecast — it assumes your sell-through rate stays constant going forward, so it won't catch an item that's about to fall off a cliff (end of season) or one about to accelerate (a viral moment). Use it to flag aging SKUs for review, not as a substitute for a real markdown calendar.
Inputs
Results
Suggested Markdown
67.5%
Markdown Price
$26.00
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter Original Retail Price and Current Age (weeks) for the inventory being evaluated.
- Set Current Sell-Through Rate (%) — how quickly the item is selling versus initial projections.
- Enter Holding Cost per Week — carrying cost including storage, capital, and opportunity cost.
- Set Target Sell-Through Rate (%) to define when markdown action is triggered.
- Read Suggested Markdown (%), Markdown Price, Projected Weeks to Sell, and Total Holding Cost to decide on promotional action.
How the result changes with Target Sell-Through Rate
| Target Sell-Through Rate | Suggested Markdown | Markdown Price |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | 22.5% | $62.00 |
| 60% | 37.5% | $50.00 |
| 100% | 80% | $16.00 |
What each input means
- Original Retail Price
- Original full retail price of the item.
- Current Age (weeks)
- How many weeks the inventory has been on the sales floor.
- Current Sell-Through Rate
- Percentage of original inventory that has been sold so far.
- Holding Cost per Week
- Weekly cost to hold one unit (storage, opportunity cost, insurance).
- Target Sell-Through Rate
- Desired sell-through percentage for the season.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersOriginal Retail Price = 80, Current Age (weeks) = 12, Current Sell-Through Rate = 35, Holding Cost per Week = 0.5 = 5 input(s) provided
- Calculate Suggested MarkdownSuggested Markdown67.5 = 67.5
- Calculate Markdown PriceMarkdown Price26 = $26
- Calculate Current Perceived ValueCurrent Perceived Value60.8 = $60.8
- Calculate Projected Weeks to SellProjected Weeks to Sell = min(99922.3 = 22.3
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators. Built by Paul Gunder, a software engineer, not a licensed financial, medical, or legal professional.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is Current Perceived Value floored instead of dropping to zero?
The depreciation factor is capped at a minimum of 0.1, so even very old inventory retains at least 10% of its original retail price in this model — the flat 2%-per-week depreciation rate would otherwise drive value to zero or negative after 50 weeks on the floor, which doesn't reflect how aged goods almost always retain some liquidation value.
How does the calculator decide how much markdown to suggest?
It measures the gap between your Target Sell-Through Rate and Current Sell-Through Rate, then multiplies that percentage-point gap by 1.5 — so being 10 points behind target suggests roughly a 15% markdown. The result is capped at 80% so the model never recommends giving inventory away for free.
What happens if I enter 0 for Current Age (weeks)?
Projected Weeks to Sell falls back to an assumed 5%-per-week sell-through pace instead of dividing by zero, which is what dividing the sell-through rate by a zero-week age would otherwise do. This only affects brand-new inventory with no sales history yet to project from.
Does Projected Weeks to Sell account for seasonal changes in demand?
No — it's a straight-line extrapolation that assumes your average sell-through rate observed so far continues unchanged going forward. It won't catch an item about to fall off a cliff at season's end or one about to take off, so treat it as a flag for review rather than a forecast.
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