Pythagorean Wins Calculator

Expected wins from runs or points scored and allowed using the Pythagorean win expectation formula.

Points / Runs Scored

Points / Runs Allowed

Total Games

Sport

Custom Exponent

Tab to move between fields

Win Percentage

53.39%

Expected Wins86.5

Expected Losses75.5

Exponent Used1.83

Scoring Diff / Game0.31

Wins Above .5005.5

How to Use This Calculator

Enter total Points or Runs Scored and Points or Runs Allowed for the season.
Set the Total Games in the season (MLB=162, NBA=82, NFL=17, NHL=82).
Select the Sport to apply the correct Pythagorean exponent automatically.
Review the Expected Win Percentage, Expected Wins, and Expected Losses.
Compare Wins Above .500 to actual standings to identify over- or under-performing teams.

How the result changes with Points / Runs Scored

Points / Runs Scored: Total points or runs scored over the season.
Points / Runs Allowed: Total points or runs allowed over the season.
Total Games: Number of games in the season (MLB=162, NBA=82, NFL=17, NHL=82).
Sport: Select the sport to use the appropriate Pythagorean exponent.
Custom Exponent: Only used when Sport is set to 4 (Custom). Higher exponents mean extreme records are more likely.

Identify Input Parameters
4 parameters
Points / Runs Scored = 700, Points / Runs Allowed = 650, Total Games = 162, Sport = 0 = 5 input(s) provided
Calculate Win Percentage
53.39 = 53.39
Calculate Expected Wins
Expected Wins = winPct * totalGames
86.5 = 86.5
Calculate Expected Losses
Expected Losses = totalGames - expectedWins
75.5 = 75.5