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Calcimator

Injury Impact Calculator

Estimate team win impact and financial cost when a key player is injured, using VORP-style analysis.

Inputs

Results

Wins Lost to Injury

0.93

Adjusted Team Wins89.1
% of Season Missed18.5%
WAR Lost / Game0.03
Value Lost ($M)$7.41M
Dead Money ($M)$2.78M
Player $/WAR ($M)$3M
How to Use This Calculator
  1. Enter the injured player's WAR or VORP for a full season.
  2. Set the total Season Games and Games Missed due to injury.
  3. Enter the Replacement Player's WAR (use 0 for replacement level).
  4. Input Team Projected Wins, Team Payroll, and Player Salary.
  5. Review Wins Lost to Injury, adjusted team wins, and dollar value of lost production.

How the result changes with Player WAR / VORP

Player WAR / VORPWins Lost to Injury
-0.3-0.06
3.950.73
9.051.68
132.41

What each input means

Player WAR / VORP
Player's Wins Above Replacement (or VORP) over a full season.
Season Games
Total games in the season (MLB=162, NBA=82, NFL=17, NHL=82).
Games Missed
Number of games the player will miss due to injury.
Replacement Player WAR
Expected WAR of the replacement player over a full season (0 = replacement level).
Team Projected Wins
Team's projected wins before the injury.
Team Payroll ($M)
Total team payroll in millions of dollars.
Player Salary ($M)
Injured player's annual salary in millions.

What each result means

Wins Lost to Injury
Estimated wins the team loses due to this injury.
Adjusted Team Wins
Team's revised projected wins after the injury.
% of Season Missed
Percentage of the total season the player will miss.
WAR Lost / Game
Win value lost for each game missed.
Value Lost ($M)
Dollar value of lost production (at ~$8M per WAR).
Dead Money ($M)
Salary paid during the injury period with no production.
Player $/WAR ($M)
How much the team pays per win of value from this player.

How this is calculated

Worked example, using the default values

  1. Identify Input Parameters
    4 parameters
    Player WAR / VORP = 5, Season Games = 162, Games Missed = 30, Replacement Player WAR = 0 = 7 input(s) provided
  2. Calculate Wins Lost to Injury
    Wins Lost to Injury = valueLostPerGame * gamesMissed
    0.93 = 0.93
  3. Calculate Adjusted Team Wins
    Adjusted Team Wins = teamWins - totalWinsLost
    89.1 = 89.1
  4. Calculate % of Season Missed
    % of Season Missed = (gamesMissed / totalGames) * 100
    18.5 = 18.5

Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests how we verify calculators.

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