Injury Impact Calculator
Estimate team win impact and financial cost when a key player is injured, using VORP-style analysis.
Inputs
Results
Wins Lost to Injury
0.93
Adjusted Team Wins89.1
% of Season Missed18.5%
WAR Lost / Game0.03
Value Lost ($M)$7.41M
Dead Money ($M)$2.78M
Player $/WAR ($M)$3M
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter the injured player's WAR or VORP for a full season.
- Set the total Season Games and Games Missed due to injury.
- Enter the Replacement Player's WAR (use 0 for replacement level).
- Input Team Projected Wins, Team Payroll, and Player Salary.
- Review Wins Lost to Injury, adjusted team wins, and dollar value of lost production.
How the result changes with Player WAR / VORP
| Player WAR / VORP | Wins Lost to Injury |
|---|---|
| -0.3 | -0.06 |
| 3.95 | 0.73 |
| 9.05 | 1.68 |
| 13 | 2.41 |
What each input means
- Player WAR / VORP
- Player's Wins Above Replacement (or VORP) over a full season.
- Season Games
- Total games in the season (MLB=162, NBA=82, NFL=17, NHL=82).
- Games Missed
- Number of games the player will miss due to injury.
- Replacement Player WAR
- Expected WAR of the replacement player over a full season (0 = replacement level).
- Team Projected Wins
- Team's projected wins before the injury.
- Team Payroll ($M)
- Total team payroll in millions of dollars.
- Player Salary ($M)
- Injured player's annual salary in millions.
What each result means
- Wins Lost to Injury
- Estimated wins the team loses due to this injury.
- Adjusted Team Wins
- Team's revised projected wins after the injury.
- % of Season Missed
- Percentage of the total season the player will miss.
- WAR Lost / Game
- Win value lost for each game missed.
- Value Lost ($M)
- Dollar value of lost production (at ~$8M per WAR).
- Dead Money ($M)
- Salary paid during the injury period with no production.
- Player $/WAR ($M)
- How much the team pays per win of value from this player.
How this is calculated
Worked example, using the default values
- Identify Input Parameters4 parametersPlayer WAR / VORP = 5, Season Games = 162, Games Missed = 30, Replacement Player WAR = 0 = 7 input(s) provided
- Calculate Wins Lost to InjuryWins Lost to Injury = valueLostPerGame * gamesMissed0.93 = 0.93
- Calculate Adjusted Team WinsAdjusted Team Wins = teamWins - totalWinsLost89.1 = 89.1
- Calculate % of Season Missed% of Season Missed = (gamesMissed / totalGames) * 10018.5 = 18.5
Engine last updated . Checked against 2 independently-derived tests — how we verify calculators.
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